行业研究报告

关税引发衰退的风险研究(高盛研究院)

2025-05管理咨询28

Note: The following is a redacted version of the original report published April 17, 2025 [28 pgs]. ISSUE 138 | April 17, 2025 | 3:55 PM EDT The Trump Administration’s dramatic tariff moves have upended decades of US

报告摘要

Note: The following is a redacted version of the original report published April 17, 2025 [28 pgs]. ISSUE 138 | April 17, 2025 | 3:55 PM EDT The Trump Administration’s dramatic tariff moves have upended decades of US

核心要点

  1. 3.5% by year-end under our baseline tariff assumptions.

报告信息

文件全名
关税引发衰退的风险研究(高盛研究院)-28页.pdf
适合读者
战略规划行业研究员
核心数据
  1. real GDP growth of 0.5% (Q4/Q4) and see a 45%
  2. the unemployment rate to 4.7% by end-25 (vs. 4.2% now).
  3. 3.5% by year-end under our baseline tariff assumptions.
  4. growth forecasts to 1.0%/0.7% (from 1.2%/1.0%) to reflect
  5. forecast to 1.1% yoy (from 1.9%) to reflect likely lower oil
核心议题
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常见问题

《关税引发衰退的风险研究(高盛研究院)》主要包含哪些内容?

Note: The following is a redacted version of the original report published April 17, 2025 [28 pgs]. ISSUE 138 | April 17, 2025 | 3:55 PM EDT The Trump Administration’s dramatic tariff moves have upended decades of US核心数据:real GDP growth of 0.5% (Q4/Q4) and see a 45%;the unemployment rate to 4.7% by end-25 (vs. 4.2% now).;3.5% by year-end under our baseline tariff assumptions.。

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覆盖 2025 年,全文约 28。

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