UBS Economics-European Economic Perspectives _European Central Bank Watch_...-110128021

报告摘要

Global Research and Evidence Lab Europe including UK Another three cuts from Riksbank this year, two from ECB, one from BoE & SNB

核心要点

2 September 2024

报告信息

文件全名: 《UBS Economics-European Economic Perspectives _European Central Bank Watch_...-110128021.pdf》
适合读者: 战略规划行业研究员
核心数据: We expect the ECB to cut the depo rate by 25bps to 3.5% at the upcoming meeting on
each in 2025 (March, June, September, December), bringing the depo rate to 3.25% by
end-2024 and 2.25% by end-2025. A key assumption is that Eurozone labour markets
Our ECB forecast also rests on the assumption that neutral policy rates are around 2%.
Following the cut on 1 August (-25bps to 5%) we expect the BoE to deliver another
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Global Research and Evidence Lab Europe including UK Another three cuts from Riksbank this year, two from ECB, one from BoE & SNB核心数据:We expect the ECB to cut the depo rate by 25bps to 3.5% at the upcoming meeting on;each in 2025 (March, June, September, December), bringing the depo rate to 3.25% by;end-2024 and 2.25% by end-2025. A key assumption is that Eurozone labour markets。

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覆盖 2024 年,全文约 21。

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