行业研究报告

UBS Economics-China Economic Perspectives _Home Destocking Debate and Prop...-110039788

2024-09管理咨询16

Home Destocking Debate and Property Forecast Where are we now in the property downturn? China’s property activities have not bottomed since the unprecedented sharp downturn

报告摘要

Home Destocking Debate and Property Forecast Where are we now in the property downturn? China’s property activities have not bottomed since the unprecedented sharp downturn

核心要点

  1. 28 August 2024

报告信息

文件全名
UBS Economics-China Economic Perspectives _Home Destocking Debate and Prop...-110039788.pdf
适合读者
战略规划行业研究员
核心数据
  1. with 2024E, with property sales, new starts and investment falling another 5-10%, 1015% and 5-10%, respectively, all weaker than our previous projections. Overall
  2. property downturn and a significant external shock such as a 60% US tariff hike.
  3. property sales volume declined by 51% in Q2 2024 from H1 2021, while new starts have
  4. contracted by a much steeper 69% from H220, and real estate development investment
  5. has fallen by 34% from H2 2020. That said, even after such a sharp decline and recent
核心议题
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常见问题

《UBS Economics-China Economic Perspectives _Home Destocking Debate and Prop...-110039788》主要包含哪些内容?

Home Destocking Debate and Property Forecast Where are we now in the property downturn? China’s property activities have not bottomed since the unprecedented sharp downturn核心数据:with 2024E, with property sales, new starts and investment falling another 5-10%, 1015% and 5-10%, respectively, all weaker than our previous projections. Overall;property downturn and a significant external shock such as a 60% US tariff hike.;property sales volume declined by 51% in Q2 2024 from H1 2021, while new starts have。

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覆盖 2024 年,全文约 16。

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