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UBS Equities-Global Strategy _USDAsia The lost smile_ Arora-109807581

2024-08管理咨询8

Global Research and Evidence Lab USD/Asia: The lost smile? Asia FX vs. Equities - A 5 sigma divergence

报告摘要

Global Research and Evidence Lab USD/Asia: The lost smile? Asia FX vs. Equities - A 5 sigma divergence

核心要点

  1. 12 August 2024

报告信息

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UBS Equities-Global Strategy _USDAsia The lost smile_ Arora-109807581.pdf
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核心数据
  1. EM Asia currencies have been inversely correlated to equities with an R-Squared of 50%.
  2. Meanwhile, the expected risks from potential tariffs , and a 5-10% CNY weakness in ‘25
  3. further ~1-2% gains in lagging Asian currencies like TWD, and potentially PHP. Viceversa, be careful of too good news; which could arguably pare back some of the hopes
  4. Figure 2: Despite EM Asia equities’ ~5% weakness last
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《UBS Equities-Global Strategy _USDAsia The lost smile_ Arora-109807581》主要包含哪些内容?

Global Research and Evidence Lab USD/Asia: The lost smile? Asia FX vs. Equities - A 5 sigma divergence核心数据:EM Asia currencies have been inversely correlated to equities with an R-Squared of 50%.;Meanwhile, the expected risks from potential tariffs , and a 5-10% CNY weakness in ‘25;further ~1-2% gains in lagging Asian currencies like TWD, and potentially PHP. Viceversa, be careful of too good news; which could arguably pare back some of the hopes。

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