行业研究报告

UBS Economics-US Economic Perspectives _Fed US outlook update_ Pingle-109855115

2024-08管理咨询15

Global Research and Evidence Lab Fed & US outlook update Updating our rate call to reflect FOMC risks reassessment

报告摘要

Global Research and Evidence Lab Fed & US outlook update Updating our rate call to reflect FOMC risks reassessment

核心要点

  1. 14 August 2024
  2. 5.25.2
  3. 3.83.8
  4. 4.64.6
  5. 3.73.7

报告信息

文件全名
UBS Economics-US Economic Perspectives _Fed US outlook update_ Pingle-109855115.pdf
适合读者
战略规划行业研究员
核心数据
  1. annualized pace has stepped down to 3.9%, closer to where we think it needs to run
  2. (3.5% to 3.8%) for PCE inflation to run sustainably at 2 percent. Nominal wage growth
  3. ahead of our model estimates (0.23% vs. 0.21%) that could be due to the hurricane
  4. depressing the workweek, and in any event, the year-over-year change slowed to 3.6%.
  5. terminal rate a little over 3% has not changed much. And this pace of policy restraint
核心议题
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常见问题

《UBS Economics-US Economic Perspectives _Fed US outlook update_ Pingle-109855115》主要包含哪些内容?

Global Research and Evidence Lab Fed & US outlook update Updating our rate call to reflect FOMC risks reassessment核心数据:annualized pace has stepped down to 3.9%, closer to where we think it needs to run;(3.5% to 3.8%) for PCE inflation to run sustainably at 2 percent. Nominal wage growth;ahead of our model estimates (0.23% vs. 0.21%) that could be due to the hurricane。

这份报告覆盖哪一年、篇幅多大?

覆盖 2024 年,全文约 15。

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